StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 03/15/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 15th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Colorado as an NCAA Tournament bubble team but likely out unless it improves. The Buffaloes are ranked #47 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 21-11 overall record and a 10-8 record in the Pac-12.

Over the last four games, Colorado chalked up wins against Oregon State and Oregon but also struggled with a loss against AP #18 Arizona and a bad loss to RPI #180 Oregon State.

Colorado is underwhelming against top competition, with a 9-9 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 3-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-4 record against AP ranked teams. While the Buffaloes have three quality wins including AP #18 Arizona, RPI #47 California, and RPI #17 Colorado State, they're dinged by two bad losses including RPI #180 Oregon State and RPI #168 Utah.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Baylor (18-14, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #61), Boise State (21-10, 9-7 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Southern Miss (24-8, 12-4 Conference USA, StatRank #35), and Alabama (20-11, 12-6 SEC, StatRank #60).

The first four teams out are Colorado (21-11, 10-8 Pac-12, StatRank #47), Iowa (21-11, 9-9 Big Ten, StatRank #74), Virginia (21-10, 11-7 ACC, StatRank #62), and Wichita State (26-8, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #33).

The next four out are Florida State (18-14, 9-9 ACC, StatRank #78), LSU (19-11, 9-9 SEC, StatRank #82), Maryland (21-11, 8-10 ACC, StatRank #79), and Oregon (24-8, 12-6 Pac-12, StatRank #49).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Georgetown
#3Florida
#4Kansas State
#5Colorado State
#6Arizona
#7Butler
#8Belmont
#9Creighton
#10Cincinnati
#11MTSU
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Davidson
#15FGCU
#16Iona
#17Liberty
Regional 2
#1Gonzaga
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4New Mexico
#5North Carolina
#6Missouri
#7Memphis
#8Illinois
#9Oklahoma
#10Iowa State
#11Temple
#12La Salle
#13Baylor
#14New Mexico State
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17Long Island
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Michigan
#3Miami (FL)
#4Oklahoma State
#5Notre Dame
#6Saint Louis
#7Minnesota
#8UNLV
#9San Diego State
#10Kentucky
#11Tennessee
#12Ole Miss
#13Boise State
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Vermont
#17Morgan State
Regional 4
#1Louisville
#2Michigan State
#3Ohio State
#4Syracuse
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7NC State
#8UCLA
#9VCU
#10Saint Mary's
#11Villanova
#12Southern Miss
#13Bucknell
#14Valparaiso
#15Stephen F. Austin
#16Western Kentucky
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
SEC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
A-105 1435.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
ACC4 1233.3%
Pac-122 1216.7%
Sun Belt2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Conference USA2 1216.7%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
Big West1 911.1%
NEC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
WAC1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%

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Rakeem Christmas from Syracuse Wins StatSheet NCAA...Arizona Leads Two Pac-12 Teams at #7 in AP Poll: F...Colorado (12-14) Goes Up against No. 7 Arizona (2...Colorado Stumbles with Loss to Oregon State 72-58



Season Preview: CU should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Pac-12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Arizona 33-5 15-3
2 UCLA 28-9 12-6
3 Oregon 24-10 10-8
 3Colorado 23-12 10-8
3 Stanford 23-13 10-8
3 Arizona State 21-12 10-8
3 California 21-14 10-8
8 Utah 21-12 9-9
8 Washington 17-15 9-9
10 Oregon State 16-16 8-10
11 WSU 10-21 3-15
12 USC 11-21 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2014-2015 Roster

#35 Geoffrey Bates Sr G 6-3 200
#0 Askia Booker Sr G 6-2 175
#22 Brett Brady Jr G 6-1 160
#15 D. Collier Fr G 6-2 170
#10 T. Fletcher So G/F 6-7 210
#44 Josh Fortune Jr G 6-5 205
#1 Wesley Gordon So F 6-9 240
#23 Jaron Hopkins So G 6-6 200
#2 Xavier Johnson Jr G/F 6-7 230
#24 George King So G/F 6-6 220
#14 Tory Miller Fr F 6-9 255
#12 Kevin Nelson Sr G 6-2 190
#33 Josh Repine Fr G 6-3 180
#40 Josh Scott Jr F 6-10 245
#5 Eli Stalzer Jr G 6-3 195
#3 Xavier Talton Jr G 6-2 185
#13 Dustin Thomas So G/F 6-7 225